{ "artifact_type": "tabular_manifold", "artifact_version": "1.2", "manifold_kind": "entity_profile", "subject": { "entity_type": "ca_item", "ca_item_number": "CA-c1d05a30b8e4.7f1652", "cleansed_part_number": "TS-IM1652", "cleansed_part_name": "TechnoSeal IM-1652 Ionomer Resin", "cleansed_part_description": "Heat-sealable ionomer resin pellet (DuPont Surlyn 1652 equivalent) used as the lidding-seal layer in pharmaceutical blister packs and tamper-evident food-cup seals. Critical sealing-layer material; no qualified alternate grade in current BOMs." }, "time_window": { "start": "2024-05-01", "end": "2026-04-30", "granularity": "month" }, "level_0_summary": { "observation_count": 51, "time_coverage": { "first_purchase_date": "2024-05-12", "last_purchase_date": "2026-04-22", "window_days": 710 }, "distribution": { "min": 2.32, "max": 2.51, "mean": 2.4316, "median": 2.43, "stddev": 0.0542, "cv": 0.0223 }, "reliability": { "sample_size_class": "adequate", "sample_size_n": 51, "confidence_in_mean": { "level": 0.95, "margin_of_error": 0.0149, "interval": [2.4167, 2.4465] }, "data_quality_score": 0.97, "data_quality_notes": "All 51 PO lines have unit_price, qty, and supplier attribution. No missing months in the active relationship window.", "staleness": { "last_observation": "2026-04-22", "days_since_last": 39, "is_stale": false, "stale_threshold_days": 90 } }, "quality_flags": { "low_sample_size": false, "missing_periods": false, "suspected_outliers": false, "data_staleness": false, "high_variance": false, "imputation_applied": false, "schema_drift_detected": false, "low_supplier_diversity": true, "has_unattributed_supplier_spend": false }, "financial_summary": { "total_spend_usd": 4022140.5, "total_qty_received": 1583465, "qty_uom": "lb", "po_count": 51, "po_line_count": 51, "avg_spend_per_po_line": 78865.5, "pct_of_total_spend": 0.001934, "population_rank": 79, "population_size": 58241, "attributed_spend_usd": 4022140.5, "unattributed_spend_usd": 0, "unattributed_spend_pct": 0 }, "price_stability": { "cv": 0.0223, "discipline_rating": "Excellent", "rating_basis": { "metric": "unit_price_cv", "threshold_excellent": 0.1, "threshold_good": 0.25, "threshold_fair": 0.5, "note": "Item-level CV is meaningful because all observations are the same SKU. Price has tracked propylene index within ±3% over 24 months." } }, "supplier_concentration": { "supplier_count": 1, "hhi": 1.0, "top_supplier_pct": 1.0, "top_3": [ { "rank": 1, "parent_supplier_id": "CAP-9b6f48d20a3c1771", "final_supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "spend": 4022140.5, "pct_of_spend": 1.0 } ] }, "commodity_classification": { "category": "Industrial Materials", "sub_category": "Polymer Resin Materials", "commodity_group": "Ionomer & Sealing Resins", "ai_commodity": "Ionomer Resin Pellets (Heat-Seal Grade)" }, "relationship": { "first_purchase_date": "2024-05-12", "last_purchase_date": "2026-04-22", "relationship_days": 710, "avg_monthly_po_frequency": 2.13 }, "interpretation_hints": [ "Sole-sourced ($4.02M / yr at HHI 1.0) on a sealing-layer material that has no qualified alternate in current BOMs — supply-continuity risk is the dominant signal here, not price.", "Pricing is exceptionally disciplined (CV 0.022, ±3% over 24 months) and tracks the propylene index — this is a stable, predictable cost line and a good candidate for a 24-month fixed-price agreement.", "Order cadence is steady (~2.1 POs/month) with no missing months — relationship looks healthy operationally. Risk lives in vendor count, not vendor performance.", "Recommended next step: qualify a second source (e.g., Sumitomo Chemical Himilan 1601, ExxonMobil Iotek 3110) before the 2026 hurricane season impacts Gulf Coast ionomer capacity." ] }, "level_1_geometry": { "monthly_timeseries": { "format": "row_objects_v1", "granularity": "month", "primary_sort": "period_asc", "missing_periods": [], "rows": [ {"period": "2024-05", "n": 2, "spend": 158540.40, "qty": 65800, "mean_unit_price": 2.41, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0071}, {"period": "2024-06", "n": 3, "spend": 238118.40, "qty": 98800, "mean_unit_price": 2.41, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0058}, {"period": "2024-07", "n": 2, "spend": 158540.40, "qty": 65800, "mean_unit_price": 2.41, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0071}, {"period": "2024-08", "n": 1, "spend": 79270.20, "qty": 32900, "mean_unit_price": 2.41, "stddev_unit_price": null}, {"period": "2024-09", "n": 2, "spend": 161100.00, "qty": 67125, "mean_unit_price": 2.40, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0}, {"period": "2024-10", "n": 3, "spend": 240900.00, "qty": 100375, "mean_unit_price": 2.40, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0}, {"period": "2024-11", "n": 2, "spend": 159060.00, "qty": 66275, "mean_unit_price": 2.40, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0}, {"period": "2024-12", "n": 2, "spend": 159060.00, "qty": 66275, "mean_unit_price": 2.40, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0}, {"period": "2025-01", "n": 3, "spend": 244125.00, "qty": 100050, "mean_unit_price": 2.44, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0098}, {"period": "2025-02", "n": 2, "spend": 162680.00, "qty": 66675, "mean_unit_price": 2.44, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0071}, {"period": "2025-03", "n": 2, "spend": 162680.00, "qty": 66675, "mean_unit_price": 2.44, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0071}, {"period": "2025-04", "n": 3, "spend": 244020.00, "qty": 100125, "mean_unit_price": 2.44, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0091}, {"period": "2025-05", "n": 2, "spend": 162680.00, "qty": 66675, "mean_unit_price": 2.44, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0083}, {"period": "2025-06", "n": 1, "spend": 81340.00, "qty": 33337, "mean_unit_price": 2.44, "stddev_unit_price": null}, {"period": "2025-07", "n": 3, "spend": 248325.00, "qty": 98937, "mean_unit_price": 2.51, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0042}, {"period": "2025-08", "n": 2, "spend": 165550.00, "qty": 65958, "mean_unit_price": 2.51, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0058}, {"period": "2025-09", "n": 2, "spend": 165550.00, "qty": 65958, "mean_unit_price": 2.51, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0058}, {"period": "2025-10", "n": 3, "spend": 248325.00, "qty": 98937, "mean_unit_price": 2.51, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0042}, {"period": "2025-11", "n": 2, "spend": 162580.00, "qty": 65958, "mean_unit_price": 2.47, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0124}, {"period": "2025-12", "n": 3, "spend": 243870.00, "qty": 98937, "mean_unit_price": 2.47, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0098}, {"period": "2026-01", "n": 2, "spend": 158136.00, "qty": 66225, "mean_unit_price": 2.39, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0354}, {"period": "2026-02", "n": 2, "spend": 156825.00, "qty": 66225, "mean_unit_price": 2.37, "stddev_unit_price": 0.0212}, {"period": "2026-03", "n": 1, "spend": 76661.00, "qty": 33037, "mean_unit_price": 2.32, "stddev_unit_price": null}, {"period": "2026-04", "n": 1, "spend": 81980.50, "qty": 33337, "mean_unit_price": 2.46, "stddev_unit_price": null} ] }, "supplier_rollup": { "format": "row_objects_v1", "rank_metric": "spend", "rows": [ { "rank": 1, "parent_supplier_id": "CAP-9b6f48d20a3c1771", "final_supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "spend": 4022140.5, "pct_of_spend": 1.0, "po_count": 51, "po_line_count": 51, "first_purchase": "2024-05-12", "last_purchase": "2026-04-22" } ], "truncation": null } }, "level_2_telemetry": { "row_count_total": 51, "strategy": "preview_outliers", "inline_rows": { "format": "row_objects_v1", "rows": [ {"rn": 1, "po_num": "TFX-2024-05-1182", "date": "2024-05-12", "site": "Holyoke-MA", "supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "buyer": "Hannigan, Beatrice", "part_description": "TECHNOSEAL IM-1652 IONOMER PELLET 50LB BAG", "qty": 32900, "qty_uom": "lb", "unit_price": 2.41, "spend": 79289.00, "z_score": -0.42, "flag": null}, {"rn": 2, "po_num": "TFX-2024-08-1417", "date": "2024-08-19", "site": "Holyoke-MA", "supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "buyer": "Hannigan, Beatrice", "part_description": "TECHNOSEAL IM-1652 IONOMER PELLET 50LB BAG", "qty": 32900, "qty_uom": "lb", "unit_price": 2.41, "spend": 79289.00, "z_score": -0.42, "flag": null}, {"rn": 3, "po_num": "TFX-2025-01-2210", "date": "2025-01-14", "site": "Indianapolis-IN", "supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "buyer": "Hannigan, Beatrice", "part_description": "TECHNOSEAL IM-1652 IONOMER PELLET 50LB BAG", "qty": 33350, "qty_uom": "lb", "unit_price": 2.44, "spend": 81374.00, "z_score": 0.13, "flag": null}, {"rn": 4, "po_num": "TFX-2025-07-3041", "date": "2025-07-08", "site": "Holyoke-MA", "supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "buyer": "Hannigan, Beatrice", "part_description": "TECHNOSEAL IM-1652 IONOMER PELLET 50LB BAG", "qty": 32979, "qty_uom": "lb", "unit_price": 2.51, "spend": 82776.29, "z_score": 1.42, "flag": "price_peak_period"}, {"rn": 5, "po_num": "TFX-2025-09-3208", "date": "2025-09-22", "site": "Indianapolis-IN", "supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "buyer": "Hannigan, Beatrice", "part_description": "TECHNOSEAL IM-1652 IONOMER PELLET 50LB BAG", "qty": 32979, "qty_uom": "lb", "unit_price": 2.51, "spend": 82776.29, "z_score": 1.42, "flag": "price_peak_period"}, {"rn": 6, "po_num": "TFX-2026-03-4188", "date": "2026-03-11", "site": "Holyoke-MA", "supplier_name": "PolymerCorp Industries North America", "buyer": "Hannigan, Beatrice", "part_description": "TECHNOSEAL IM-1652 IONOMER PELLET 50LB BAG", "qty": 33037, "qty_uom": "lb", "unit_price": 2.32, "spend": 76645.84, "z_score": -2.05, "flag": "price_outlier_low"} ] }, "retrieval": { "method": "mcp_tool", "tool_name": "technoflex_get_telemetry", "tool_args": { "entity_type": "item", "entity_id": "CA-c1d05a30b8e4.7f1652" }, "pagination": { "supports_limit": true, "default_limit": 100, "max_limit": 1000 }, "sql_fallback": { "dialect": "databricks_sql", "query_template": "SELECT po_num, purchase_order_date AS date, site_code AS site, supplier_name, buyer_name AS buyer, part_description, qty, qty_uom, unit_price, spend FROM technoflex.silver.purchase_orders WHERE ca_item_number = :ca_item_number ORDER BY purchase_order_date", "query_params": {"ca_item_number": "CA-c1d05a30b8e4.7f1652"}, "param_types": {"ca_item_number": "string"} } } }, "token_budget": { "level_0_tokens_approx": 480, "level_1_tokens_approx": 1820, "level_2_inline_tokens_approx": 1140, "row_count_total": 51, "inline_row_limit": 6, "compression_ratio_l1_vs_l2": 7.4, "compression_ratio_l0_vs_l2": 18.2, "recommended_strategy": "Read level_0_summary first. The dominant signal (supplier_concentration HHI 1.0 + low_supplier_diversity flag) makes the next step a sourcing-policy question, not a data-investigation question — Level 1 / Level 2 only needed if validating the price trajectory or confirming PO cadence." }, "lineage": { "manifold_id": "mfld_ca_item_CA-c1d05a30b8e4.7f1652_20260501", "computed_at": "2026-05-01T03:14:08.642Z", "computed_by": "technoflex_item_profile_v2.4", "qps_entry_id": "qps_technoflex_item_CA-c1d05a30b8e4.7f1652_20260501", "inputs": [ { "dataset_id": "technoflex.silver.purchase_orders", "version": "2026-04-30T23:59:59Z", "row_count": 1872044, "as_of_timestamp": "2026-04-30T23:59:59Z" }, { "dataset_id": "technoflex.item_categorization.item_supplier_spend_final", "version": "2026-05-01T02:14:00Z", "row_count": 58241, "as_of_timestamp": "2026-04-30T23:59:59Z" }, { "dataset_id": "technoflex.item_categorization.item_categorization_labeled_vw", "version": "2026-05-01T02:14:00Z", "row_count": 58241, "as_of_timestamp": "2026-04-30T23:59:59Z" } ], "filters_applied": [ {"field": "ca_item_number", "operator": "=", "value": "CA-c1d05a30b8e4.7f1652"}, {"field": "purchase_order_date", "operator": ">=", "value": "2024-05-01"}, {"field": "purchase_order_date", "operator": "<=", "value": "2026-04-30"} ], "transformations": [ "PO lines aggregated to monthly buckets keyed on purchase_order_date", "unit_price computed as spend / qty per line; stddev_unit_price computed per month over line-level prices", "supplier_concentration HHI computed as sum((spend_i / total_spend)^2) across distinct parent_supplier_id" ], "checksum": { "method": "sha256_row_hash", "value": "a4b3f2c198e07d6580c41b4a7e6f128c5d39e02b1c5d8a4f6e72b1c3d4e5f6a7" } } }